The latest news from the rebound judgment

Answer 1

The following are some key points about the rebound judgment:

##1. From the perspective of energy
The durability of the energy was the key factor in determining the rebound and reversal. Rising prices required continuous support. Usually, the amount of energy would gradually increase in the later stages of the rise because higher prices required more funds to push. If the volume can continue in the middle and late stages of the rise, the chances of rising are greater; if the volume is reduced after the high volume, there may be problems.

##2. From the perspective of medium and long-term trends
1. ** Trending Level Relationship **
- The daily line had to obey the weekly line, and the weekly line had to obey the monthly line. The rebound level usually did not exceed the weekly level, or it would take multiple weekly level rebounding stacks to produce a monthly level rebound.
2. ** Reverse Judgment **
- A reversal meant a change in the trend. If the positive line crossed the trend line at the monthly level, it could be considered a reversal. When judging the rebound level, you can observe whether it breaks through the medium and long-term trend line (such as the monthly level).

##3. From the perspective of the leading sector (main line)
Every round of the market, whether it was a rebound or a reversal, there would be a leading plate (main line). If the main line plate is still rising to a new high, it means that the market is not over; in the weekly level rebound, the main line generally lasts for 3 - 5 months at most and the increase space is limited. By observing the trend and persistence of the main line plate, you can grasp the market level.

##4. From the perspective of core logic
He needed to pay attention to the success or failure of the core logic, but the reference materials did not elaborate on how to judge the relationship between the success or failure of the core logic and the rebound.

In addition, from the recent rebound of the technology sector, since the end of September, the technology sector has been good, such as the North Index doubled, the 50 range of science and technology increased by more than 50%, and the Growth Enterprise Index increased by more than 40%. This was supported by macro policies (such as the financial policies of the central bank, the policies of the national development and reform commission, and the Ministry of Finance) and the industrial trends. Taking chip stocks as an example, the domestication rate has increased in the past three years, and in 2024, the state's strong support for advanced manufacturing processes has further developed it. Although the artificial intelligence sector is disturbed by the supply of training computing power in the short term, factors such as the continuous repetition of large model capabilities, the urgent domestic demand for domestic artificial intelligence computing power replacement and the key verification period in the second half of 2024 also affect the trend of relevant sectors.
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