It's okay if you don't understand
"Then?
Under Ye Chen's playful and smiling expression.
After a pause, Li Changfeng continued, "Brother Ye, now countless speculators have poured into the international crude oil circle, and even in the futures market, no one is willing to sell. It can be foreseen that under the conflict on the other side of the ocean and in the Middle East, the price of international crude oil is bound to soar again and again. Right now, it is said that many speculators are frantically buying the bottom. Although the current price of international crude oil is only more than 40 US dollars, many speculators have already offered 50 US dollars or even higher prices, just to seize this opportunity!
"What do you think?
Instead of rushing to sing a different tune, Ye Chen put away his amusement and asked seriously.
"Brother Ye, based on the information collected from various sources, I think this wave of international crude oil price increases will definitely exceed 100 US dollars. The possibility is more than 90%. But you said before that it could only increase by 50% at most. At that time, you might not have expected that many people in the Middle East would be killed or injured in an air strike on the other side of the ocean, and that the general-level commander in the Middle East would also be killed. Otherwise, your expectation would definitely be more than a 50% price increase. It is precisely for these reasons that I came here with Jingshan. I want to hear your next analysis and judgment!" said Li Changfeng.
"Are you sure that the price of crude oil will exceed $100 per barrel? You want to get my approval after this certainty, right?" Ye Chen said.
Li Changfeng did not hide it in a pretentious manner.
Nodded.
"Brother Ye, it is undeniable that I do want to get your approval on the fact that the price of crude oil will break through $100 a barrel in the future! However, it is not just me who believes that international crude oil will break through the $100 mark in this wave of war and conflict in the Middle East and across the ocean. There are also many capital speculators who have already entered the market!
However.
Ye Chen shook his head.
"I understand your confidence, but I still maintain my previous opinion, at most fifty points! International crude oil can't break through the 100 US dollar mark, let alone 100 US dollars, it is estimated that it can't even break through 70 US dollars!'"Brother Ye, you... Li Changfeng couldn't help but frowned.
He really wanted to question and refute Ye Chen's statement, but he couldn't say those words.
As far as the current situation is concerned, once the Middle East launches a retaliatory counterattack against the other side of the ocean, it will mean that the Middle East will once again become a meat grinder. In this case, $100 a barrel of crude oil? This is still a bargain!
"I know that you... including those speculators you mentioned are so sure that crude oil will experience a crazy surge of over $100 because you believe that the war conflict between the Middle East and the other side of the ocean will turn into a white-hot fight! Indeed, if the conflict really reaches the point of a white-hot fight, the price of $100 a barrel of crude oil will definitely be a foregone conclusion, and it may even be the starting point of the price! But what if the conflict does not develop to that extent? What if it ends up being a lot of noise but little action? Do you think there is still a possibility of such a crazy surge?"
Ye Chen continued, "Remember I told you before in the Cloud Cafe that I think the conflict is limited. Even if many people in the Middle East were killed or injured, even if generals were killed, I still don't think the two sides will go to the point of life and death! It's very simple. First, the other side of the ocean will no longer fight this kind of war. Second, the Middle East does not want to drag itself into this kind of war vortex. If a war really breaks out, it will only be a lose-lose situation. But the current situation is that neither side can afford to lose!"
"Brother Ye, this is not right. If the other side of the ocean will not fight this kind of war again, then why did they provoke the conflict and blow up the other side's general-level commander? Also, the Middle East has been bullied so badly that the whole country is outraged, and the Middle East has also issued wild words of revenge to the whole world. Does it make sense if they don't start a war?" Zhang Jingshan immediately followed up.
Li Changfeng, who wanted to respond, did not speak now, obviously agreeing with Zhang Jingshan's idea.
"Yes, what you said is correct. But if you want to ask what the other side of the ocean is trying to do, I guess no one can answer this question. After all, the one giving the orders is that madman who doesn't play by the rules. It's possible that he was acting on a whim, or maybe he was bored and wanted to find something to satisfy his desire! As for the Middle East, let's not talk about the people for now. No matter how angry they are, when it comes to a war with disastrous consequences, their top leaders will not act according to the will of the people below. Even though the Middle East is shouting loudly now, if they can find a way out, this storm will probably just pass!" Ye Chen said.
"No, if what you said is true, Brother Ye, then wouldn't this be too bloody?" Zhang Jingshan was confused.
"Yes, it's so bloody! It's because the person at the helm on the other side of the ocean is a psychopath who doesn't play by the rules. He is a madman who only cares about his emotions and his hot head and doesn't care about the consequences!" Ye Chen said.
"Then according to your opinion, Brother Ye, does it mean that there will definitely be no war between the Middle East and the other side of the ocean?" Li Changfeng frowned.
He still had his own opinions on Ye Chen's analysis to some extent.
At this point, is there any possibility of a peaceful resolution to this conflict?
If the Middle East does not retaliate, perhaps the other side of the ocean will stop while it is ahead, and the possibility of a violent escalation of the conflict may be reduced to a very low level.
but.
The Middle East has been attacked in this way, and the people in the country are so angry that they want everyone to take up arms and go to the battlefield. Is it possible that the Middle East, which has already sent out a signal to fight back, will stop?
This is unrealistic!
If the Middle East launches a counterattack, how could the self-proclaimed world hegemon on the other side of the ocean call off the war and keep the situation peaceful?
No, this is not convincing or even impossible no matter how you look at it!
No matter how incomprehensible the madman on the other side of the ocean who occasionally has a nervous breakdown is, it is impossible for him to make such a concession to settle the matter peacefully when he personally started the war.
However, this time, Li Changfeng overestimated the other party...
"There will be no fighting. At most, the Middle East will make some so-called counterattacks that seem to be quite large but are actually not very powerful, just to find a way out for themselves!" Ye Chen said lightly.
"Are we just going to let it go on the other side of the ocean?" Li Changfeng's frown deepened.
He really doesn't understand
"What else? Fight to the death with the Middle East? What's the point? Is it possible? Is the price they paid in the Middle East over the years small? Will another wave of them plunge us into the quagmire of war again? You know, this is different from the opponents in the past. This time, we are not facing soft persimmons that will accept everything. Once they go crazy, it will be enough to make them suffer!" Ye Chen said.
"I still can't figure it out. If it's really as you said, Brother Ye, then the other side of the ocean would be shooting themselves in the foot, which would be really embarrassing and damaging to their image!" Li Changfeng shook his head.
"That's right, you can't figure it out. I can't figure it out either!" Ye Chen smiled.
Li Changfeng fell into a puzzled silence after hearing the voice.
Ye Chen chuckled and said, "You came to me specially to verify your analysis. What's the matter? Is it that 50% profit can't satisfy you, and you still want to squat at a higher position?"