What are the signs of world chaos?

Answer 1

Zheng Yongnian believed that there were already three major signs that indicated that the world might be in chaos. They were the impact of the COvid-19 epidemic on the global economy, the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on the world structure, and the " anti-terrorism " led by the United States.

From the perspective of the influence of the United States, if the United States fell, it could also cause world chaos.
- ** Political aspects **: The United States was the leader or key participant of many international organizations and alliances. Once the United States fell, the balance of international relations that was originally maintained by the United States might be broken, which could easily lead to the deterioration of regional political conflicts and affect other regions. For example, some forces in the Middle East that were formed by the intervention of the United States might lose their balance in an instant, and the relationship between Israel and the surrounding Arab countries would fall into a more complicated and unpredictable state. The United States had a huge influence in international politics. Once it suddenly fell in politics, the structure of the United Nations Security Council might undergo a huge change. Countries that were originally suppressed by the United States might " emerge " on the international stage, but it might also trigger new political competition.
- ** Financial aspects **: The US dollar was the main international reserve currency, and most international trade was settled in US dollars. The United States also controlled many important financial institutions and Multinational Corporation. Once the US economy collapsed, the US dollar system would collapse, and the international monetary system would fall into chaos. The exchange rates of various countries would fluctuate greatly, and international trade settlement would become complicated and difficult. Many countries that relied on the US dollar system would encounter economic crises. For example, some countries with high foreign debts and large amounts of US Treasury bonds would face risks such as default. The global financial market was in turmoil, and the stock market and bond market might plummet. The U.S. Treasury bond market was also a risk point. Many countries held a large amount of U.S. Treasury bonds. Once the U.S. fell, the risk of default on the national debt would increase greatly. The global supply chain would also fall into chaos. The U.S. was an important production and consumption market for many high-tech products and consumer goods. Once the U.S. economy collapsed, the production chain of related products would break and affect the global economy.
- ** Military **: The U.S. military has many military bases around the world, and its military forces are widely deployed. Once the U.S. military withdraws from some key overseas areas, local forces will fight for resources and territory. For example, some Eastern European countries in Europe originally relied on the U.S. military forces to ensure their security. After the U.S. withdraws, they will worry about the expansion of the influence of neighboring big countries such as Russia and may expand their armaments on their own, which will aggravate the regional military tension. In the Middle East, the military presence of the United States affected the distribution of oil resources and the geographical situation. After the fall of the United States, the region might lose its balance, and various forces would fight for military advantages and resources.