What's going on with the rebound in the market? Video teaching
The rebound in the market may be caused by the following reasons: ###1. From the perspective of the power of trading 1. ** Lower willingness to sell ** - In the process of continuous decline, if there was a situation of shrinking and closing, it meant that the narrowing of the number of sales was far greater than the number of purchases. Because if the willingness to sell was still strong, it would continue to sell on the same day, instead of shrinking. Therefore, this kind of shrinking rebound indicated that at this position, the willingness to sell further was weakening. - For example, when the market was in a relatively low state, many investors were stuck, and some desperate investors might leave the market sporadically. However, once there were signs of stopping the decline, such as a shrinking rebound, it would alleviate the pessimism of the investors in the market, thus further suppressing the number of sales in the market. 2. ** The influence of buying power ** - Even if the buying power did not increase significantly, as long as the selling power decreased significantly, it could also lead to a rebound. In a situation where the market was unstable or there was no major positive news to stimulate a large amount of new funds to enter the market, the seller's reluctance to sell could cause the price to rise and cause a rebound. ###2. From the perspective of capital and market structure 1. ** Operation of main funds ** - Sometimes, the rebound of the market may be the result of the operation of the main fund at a specific stage. For example, the main fund might have already laid out some stocks in the early stage. When the market fell to a certain extent, they did not need a lot of money to push the stock price up. As long as they pulled some large-cap stocks or key stocks slightly, they could cause the market to follow the trend and achieve a rebound in the market. As the main capital did not invest in new funds on a large scale, the trading volume would not be significantly enlarged, showing a shrinking rebound. 2. ** Imbalanced market structure ** - If the performance of large-cap stocks and small-cap stocks in the market diverged, it could also lead to a rebound in volume. For example, the weight of large-cap stocks was greater. When large-cap stocks rose under the protection of the main capital, while small-cap stocks were not active or the capital flows were relatively balanced, the market might shrink and rebound. Because the trading of large-cap stocks was often concentrated between a small number of large funds, it might not require a large number of exchanges to push the stock price up, so that the entire market index rose without a significant increase in trading volume. ###3. From the perspective of macro policies and external environment 1. ** Potential impact of macro policies ** - The domestic policy environment had a potential impact on the market. For example, the central bank lowered interest rates, which reduced the returns of funds in banks. In theory, this would prompt some funds to find other investment channels. However, if the market sentiment had not fully recovered confidence, this part of the funds might slowly flow into the market and would not immediately bring a large amount of trading volume. In this policy context, once there were some positive market signals, there might be a rebound in volume. - When policies such as raising the dividends are introduced, it may change the expectations of market participants. Some investors may begin to be optimistic about the long-term trend of the market, but in the short term, they are still in a wait-and-see state. There is no large-scale entry of funds, which may also lead to a rebound in volume. 2. ** The uncertainty of the external environment ** - In an uncertain external environment, such as the upcoming U.S. election, market participants would be cautious. Before the election results came out, the funds would not rush into the market, but some of the funds in the market may be based on some internal positive factors (such as domestic policy fine-tuning or underestimation of some sectors, etc.) to push the market tentatively, resulting in a shrinking rebound. Read more exciting novels for free
The market is about to rebound
Different analyses had different views on whether the market was about to rebound. Some people believed that the market had a rebound trend. For example, in the analysis on October 24th, it was mentioned that the market had a correction on that day. From the turnover, the trading volume was low, and the market sentiment might be on the verge of overselling. Moreover, the market had experienced enough adjustment, and the accumulated rebound strength was accumulating. Therefore, it was predicted that the market would usher in a rebound. However, there were also opinions that there was uncertainty. For example, from the technical indicators, the state of the dead cross of the MCD was not alleviated, the red column shrank after the market rose, the high nine and high seven appeared in 90 minutes and 120 minutes, and the high eight appeared in the Shen Cheng Index. All of these suggested that short-term high points might appear. If it fell below five to ten antennae on Thursday, then the B wave rebound might end and the C wave would fall. Therefore, it was impossible to judge for sure that the market was about to rebound. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
The brake rebound is a little slow. What's going on? Video
Tomorrow, the market will rebound and the new market will rise.
He said that the market would rebound tomorrow and start a new market. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
Will the rebound market still rise?
The trend of the market was affected by a variety of factors, and there was the possibility of continuing to rise and fall. From a technical point of view, if the market can significantly increase its volume and break through key pressure levels (such as 3331 points, 3380 points, etc.), it is possible to continue the rebound trend. However, if the rebound was limitless and could not effectively break through the pressure level, they might face an adjustment. For example, in the previous rebound process, the lack of energy led to the failure to effectively break through the key pressure level, and then there was a trend of stepping back. From the perspective of the sector, the main capital of different sectors has a large difference. The capital outflows of some sectors (such as the large outflows of solar power equipment) may have a certain impact on the market, while sectors such as stocks can play a role in supporting the market at critical times. If the various sectors can coordinate and cooperate, the main funds will flow back to the relevant sectors, and the market may continue to rise; on the contrary, if the sector pull is serious and the funds continue to flow out, the market will face pressure to rise. At present, the market was in the second wave adjustment of the B wave rebound market. Its own rhythm was slow, and the market risk was intensifying near the end of the month. The main funds basically maintained a net outflows throughout the month except for specific dates, which also formed a certain constraint on the continued rise of the market. Therefore, it was not easy to determine whether the market would continue to rise. It was necessary to continue to pay attention to the changes in the above-mentioned factors. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
The bond market rebound is expected to continue
Judging from the recent performance of the bond market, the bond market has a certain rebound and there is the possibility of continuing the rebound. From a fundamental point of view, the current domestic market demand still needs to be boosted. The month-on-month decline in the Producer Index has increased again. Both the Purchasing Index and the inflation data show that the current domestic economic recovery still lacks strong support. This situation is a favorable factor for the bond market. From a policy perspective, monetary policy remained loose, and the effect of the policy at the beginning of the year was still showing. Moreover, the central bank said that the average legal deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions was about 7%, and there was still room for downward adjustment, which was conducive to the continuation of the bond market rebound. However, the capital situation sometimes also has an impact on the bond market. For example, since September, when the capital is tight, the bond market is still rising because of more emphasis on fundamentals and other comprehensive factors, but if the capital is too tight, it may also bring some uncertainty. On the whole, although there were some uncertainties, based on the current fundamentals and policy situation, there was hope for the bond market to continue. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
A share market is expected to rebound first
Recently, there are some positive factors in the A-share market that indicate that it is expected to take the lead in rebounding. From the perspective of policies, since September 24, a series of policy tools including interest rate cuts, reduction of reserve requirements, reduction of down payment for second homes, reduction of stock mortgage interest rates, etc. were introduced. On September 26, the Politburo meeting deployed economic work and emphasized the need to "effectively implement stock policies, strengthen the introduction of increment policies, and ensure necessary financial expenditure". On October 12, the financial conference of the State Administration of New China also actively adjusted the idea of debt reduction. With the implementation of these policies, While helping the real economy, it was expected to boost the fundamentals of A shares and let the A share market go further. From the perspective of market capital and sentiment, under the "924" series of policies, the capital returned to the stock market substantially, and the rapid recovery of market sentiment contributed to this round of market. Although there is a period of overheating at present, from historical experience, the first wave of each market often comes from the rebound of overfall. The industry sector that fell more before became the leading pioneer in this round of market, such as beauty care, food and beverage, etc. From the perspective of cross-border capital flows, the Director of the International Balance of payments Department of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange said that from the perspective of the capital account, foreign direct investment has improved recently, and foreign investment under the security investment to buy bonds and stocks in China is generally good. It is confidently expected that in the next few months and longer this year, China's cross-border capital flows will maintain a stable and good trend, which also has a positive impact on the rebound of the A-share market. However, the long-term rise of the stock market ultimately needed an economic foundation, and the continuation of the subsequent market still needed to wait for further verification of the fundamentals. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
What are the reasons for the overall rebound in the market?
The reasons for the overall rebound in the market may be the following: 1. ** In terms of macro policies **: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut policy has brought new mobility to the global economy. The economic policies of China and the United States have undergone a counter-Cyclical shift, which has changed market expectations and investors are full of expectations for the future. 2. ** Capital Flow **: - The influx of capital from the north has a driving effect on the market. For example, on February 6,2024, when the capital flow to the north was 12.605 billion yuan and the domestic capital flow was 21.634 billion yuan, the three major indicators rebounded to a new high; On December 28,2023, the net purchase of capital from the north reached a new high since July 28, and the three major indicators of A shares collectively rebounded greatly. - If there is a land adjustment in the market, it may mean that there are funds to re-enter the market to push the market to rebound. For example, if the land adjustment time is short in the first stage of the bull market, it indicates that the bull market is strong and may push the market to rebound. 3. ** Sector pull **: The collective surge of some sectors can lead to a rebound in the market. For example, on December 28,2023, the collective surge of the new energy sector led to a rebound in the A-share market. 4. ** The market's own adjustment of demand **: The market's sharp adjustment in the early stage released a lot of risk, and there may be a rebound after the selling power is weakened. For example, the rebound on February 6,2024 was due to the risk released by the market's sharp adjustment a few days ago. 5. ** Exchange rate **: The assistance of the RMB exchange rate has an impact on the market. For example, on December 28,2023, the rise of the RMB exchange rate helped the three major A-share index to rebound collectively. 6. ** In terms of interest rate expectations **: When the market has expectations for the reduction of interest rates, it may push the market to rebound. For example, on December 28,2023, the market's expectation for the reduction of interest rates in 2024 was one of the reasons for the collective rebound of the three major A-share index on that day. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
What is the law of the stock market rebound?
The law of stock market rebound included the following aspects: * * 1. Laws related to capital ** 1. * * Bottom-hunting funds to promote ** - When the stock market fell in the early stages, some investors thought that the stock price was low and that the bottom-up funds would pour in. For example, when the Tokyo stock market rebounded, the previous day's plunge created an opportunity for short-term buying operations, and the influx of bottom-hunting funds pushed the stock market up. 2. * * Inflow of funds from institutions and individual investors ** - The increase in the participation of institutions and the participation of individual investors will boost the stock market rebound. In the process of China's stock market's record rebound, there was a significant increase in the participation of institutions, and individual investors began to enter the market enthusiastically. The influx of large amounts of funds lifted the stock market out of the doldrums. * * 2. Laws of policy and the influence of macro economy ** 1. * * Stimulation policy ** - The government's policy measures, such as tax cuts and interest rate cuts, could stabilize the market, activate economic vitality, boost market confidence, and thus encourage funds to return to the stock market, triggering a rebound. 2. * * Impact of the macro economic situation ** - When the macro economic data is good or there is good news, it will push the market to break through. For example, the company's financial report was eye-catching, and the country's macro economic data was good. It could attract the attention of investors, increase their enthusiasm for participation, and push the stock market to rebound. * * 3. The Law of Industry and Enterprise Performance ** 1. * * Led by the industry ** - The good performance of certain industries has contributed to the stock market's rebound. For example, technology stocks and consumer stocks led the rise in a certain round of rebound. When the performance of their leading companies exceeded expectations, investors would see hope, attract capital flows, and then drive the overall rebound of the stock market. 2. * * Enterprise profit impact ** - Enterprise earnings were an important factor affecting the stock market. A company with good earnings could enhance investor confidence and push up the stock price, thus pushing the stock market to rebound to a certain extent. * * 4. Law of technical indicators ** - The stock market rebound was often accompanied by improvements in technical indicators, such as the change in the K-line shape and the amplification of energy. These technical signals could guide investors and increase the market's upward momentum. * * 5. The Law of Market Sentiment ** - As the stock market began to rebound, investor confidence gradually recovered. The pessimistic sentiment was replaced by optimism, and the market atmosphere became positive. The spread of this sentiment would accelerate the flow of funds and further promote the stock market's rebound. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
What is the possibility of a rebound in the stock market?
There were several possible scenarios for a stock to rebound: 1. ** In terms of technical indicators **: When the relative strength index is below 30, the stock is in the oversold area and may rebound in the future. For example, stocks with a relative strength index of less than 30 on the 14th had this possibility. 2. ** In terms of market capital flow ** - When the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, all kinds of capital would start to flow back to A-shares and Hong Kong stocks (including international capital and capital that went out to carry interest), which could cause stocks to rebound. - The national debt market had stalled. At present, a large amount of funds were buying national debt. When the central bank calmed down the counter-current storm in the bond market and realized the balance of capital allocation, some funds would flow back to the stock market, and the stock market might rebound. - The central bank lowered the interest rate of stock loans (structural interest rate cuts) and released the debt burden of the residential sector, which was conducive to consumption and investment, which formed a positive effect on the stock market and might trigger a rebound. - If Yang Ma announced that she would enter the market and buy an unlimited number of IFCs, regardless of whether it was true or not, it would also boost market confidence, attract funds into the market, and push the stock to rebound. 3. ** From the perspective of market trends and patterns ** - If there is a bottom deviation, there may be a rebound, such as the stock price hitting a new low but the technical indicators did not hit a new low at the same time. - During the fall, if it was the B rebound stage of the ADC structure, there would be a rebound, but this rebound could generally last for 5 - 8 hours, but it was only a short-term technical repair rebound. 4. ** In terms of volume **: The average volume of the rebound stage must be sufficient, which must be greater than the average volume of the decline stage. Although the strength of the first day's energy was not the key, the subsequent energy must be gradually enlarged to meet this requirement. If the average energy of the rebound stage was less than or equal to the average energy of the decline stage, the rebound would be weak and easy to die. 5. ** Affected by good news **: Although some industrial policies have little impact, if there is a policy or news that is substantially beneficial to the stock market, it may also cause the stock to rebound. For example, the village would host the annual meeting of the financial street this weekend. The central bank and the village head might give new policy directions. If it was a policy that was good for the stock market, the stock price might rebound. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
How high can the market rebound
From the technical analysis point of view, the market forecast rebound height pressure position at 3488 points, rebound up to make up the gap position, is the high point of this round of rebound; There are also opinions that the market rebound height may be 3406 points, but there may be fluctuations in the middle; There are also opinions that if you can stand above 3300 points, the space above will continue to open, but it is not clear how high it can go; There are also predictions that the market will rebound to 3331.08 points as the highest point; There was a similar situation before. It was unlikely that the market would rise to 3600 points, and the upper rail was considered to be at the top. In short, there were many different predictions about the height of the market's rebound. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>