The market's staged rebound is expected to be established
The trend of the market was affected by a variety of factors, and there were some signs that a staged rebound was expected to be established. Judging from the recent market performance, the market had experienced a decline before, such as the decline since the 9th, and then there were some rebound situations, such as last Friday's big Yang line, etc. This week was also in line with the expectations of entering the shock rebound stage. From the perspective of trading volume, there were previous cases of shrinking trading volume, such as low trading volume on some trading days, which reflected the market sentiment to the edge of oversold to a certain extent, and this situation often indicated that the opportunity for a rebound was approaching. In addition, from the perspective of the market's support level, some of the previous key support levels were not broken during the correction, which also provided some support for the rebound. However, there were still some uncertainties. For example, the market trend was unstable in the near future, sometimes rising and sometimes falling, like yesterday's rise and today's fall, which indicated that the market had not completely stabilized. Moreover, large-cap stocks did not act at some critical moments, and the pull of the stock market alone was relatively weak. Despite these uncertainties, overall, the current situation shows that a staged rebound in the market is still expected to be established. Read more exciting novels for free
The bond market rebound is expected to continue
Judging from the recent performance of the bond market, the bond market has a certain rebound and there is the possibility of continuing the rebound. From a fundamental point of view, the current domestic market demand still needs to be boosted. The month-on-month decline in the Producer Index has increased again. Both the Purchasing Index and the inflation data show that the current domestic economic recovery still lacks strong support. This situation is a favorable factor for the bond market. From a policy perspective, monetary policy remained loose, and the effect of the policy at the beginning of the year was still showing. Moreover, the central bank said that the average legal deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions was about 7%, and there was still room for downward adjustment, which was conducive to the continuation of the bond market rebound. However, the capital situation sometimes also has an impact on the bond market. For example, since September, when the capital is tight, the bond market is still rising because of more emphasis on fundamentals and other comprehensive factors, but if the capital is too tight, it may also bring some uncertainty. On the whole, although there were some uncertainties, based on the current fundamentals and policy situation, there was hope for the bond market to continue. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
A share market is expected to rebound first
Recently, there are some positive factors in the A-share market that indicate that it is expected to take the lead in rebounding. From the perspective of policies, since September 24, a series of policy tools including interest rate cuts, reduction of reserve requirements, reduction of down payment for second homes, reduction of stock mortgage interest rates, etc. were introduced. On September 26, the Politburo meeting deployed economic work and emphasized the need to "effectively implement stock policies, strengthen the introduction of increment policies, and ensure necessary financial expenditure". On October 12, the financial conference of the State Administration of New China also actively adjusted the idea of debt reduction. With the implementation of these policies, While helping the real economy, it was expected to boost the fundamentals of A shares and let the A share market go further. From the perspective of market capital and sentiment, under the "924" series of policies, the capital returned to the stock market substantially, and the rapid recovery of market sentiment contributed to this round of market. Although there is a period of overheating at present, from historical experience, the first wave of each market often comes from the rebound of overfall. The industry sector that fell more before became the leading pioneer in this round of market, such as beauty care, food and beverage, etc. From the perspective of cross-border capital flows, the Director of the International Balance of payments Department of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange said that from the perspective of the capital account, foreign direct investment has improved recently, and foreign investment under the security investment to buy bonds and stocks in China is generally good. It is confidently expected that in the next few months and longer this year, China's cross-border capital flows will maintain a stable and good trend, which also has a positive impact on the rebound of the A-share market. However, the long-term rise of the stock market ultimately needed an economic foundation, and the continuation of the subsequent market still needed to wait for further verification of the fundamentals. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
It is expected to form an island-type rebound market
Island reversal was an important reversal form in the K-line technique. It was divided into top island reversal and bottom island reversal. The formation of the bottom island reversal usually had the following characteristics: After a period of decline in the stock price, there would be a downward gap on one day, but the stock price did not accelerate the decline, but there were signs of stopping the decline below the gap. Then, there would suddenly be an upward gap, and the stock price would rise. The two gap gaps were basically in the same price area. At the same time, the formation of the bottom island reversal was often accompanied by a large volume. If the volume was small, it would be difficult to establish. The island reversal at the top was the opposite. It was a downward reversal after the stock price rose. To judge whether there is hope for an island-type rebound (here should be an island-type reversal, that is, an island-type rebound), you need to pay attention to whether the stock price first has a wave of decline, then whether there is a downward gap and signs of stopping the decline, and then see if there will be an upward gap in the same price area. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the trading volume. If the trading volume is small in the process of forming an island-shaped reversal at the bottom, then the possibility of forming an island-shaped rebound is low. It also needed to be combined with the market trend, stock fundamentals, and other technical indicators to make a comprehensive judgment. For example, the MacD indicator, the Bollinger Bands indicator, etc. also had a certain auxiliary role in judging the stock price trend. It was not possible to determine that an island-type rebound was expected based on a single island-type feature. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
This rebound in the market is expected to last for half a week
According to relevant analysis, the time period for the market to rebound was within 1 to 2 weeks (before mid-November), so this wave of rebound was expected to last for half a week. However, the trend of the market was complex and changeable. It was affected by many factors, such as trading volume, plate rotation, policy, capital, and sentiment. There was a certain degree of uncertainty. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
What will happen to the staged rebound?
A staged rebound was usually a short-term rebound after a period of decline. During the rebound period, there may be the following performances: 1. ** In terms of technical indicators **: As can be seen from some examples, there may be an increase in the deviation rate, and the distance between the k-line and the purple channel line above may increase, which will lead to a short-term change and trigger a rebound. And in the process of building the bottom, a small level signal (such as the daily line level) appeared. Although it could not be confirmed to be a reversal, it could trigger a rebound. For example, after the signal appeared at the bottom, there might be a downward movement, and then there would be a rebound. 2. ** Sector performance **: Some sectors will rebound against the trend, such as environmental protection, medicine, coal, public transportation and other sectors may rebound against the trend during the market adjustment. Different sectors will have different performances in the staged rebound, such as tourism, real estate, culture, education, leisure, and communications operations. 3. ** Overall Market **: From the perspective of market confidence, a staged rebound may restore market confidence, but this does not mean that the market has entered a bull market. It may only be a short-term rebound. From the market trend, it has a certain pressure area, such as after September if A shares usher in a staged rebound, the pressure is in the 3000, 3150 area, investors should pay close attention to the rebound volume and policy changes; From the bottom of the market, there may be a bottom-building process. The bottom-building process may not be a point, but a process. There may be many repetitions in this process. For example, when the first bottom is completed, there may be a second bottom (double bottom). The completion standard of the first bottom may be a continuous rebound to break through the short-term trend, but this does not mean that it has completely bottomed out. The signals in the entire bottom-building process are constantly appearing and changing. 4. ** In terms of investor operation **: investors should not be blindly optimistic during the staged rebound period. For example, when the market trend is downward and the fundamentals are not strong, although there is the possibility of a staged rebound, they should not blindly believe that the price will be low after the volume. For some large rebound (such as a big rebound of 500 points), it is necessary to pay attention to the red trend pressure belt to determine the level and persistence of the rebound. At the same time, in the process of bottom-building rebound, we should pay attention to the influence of the hold-up plate. If the hold-up plate hesitates to sell after seeing the rebound, it may lead to a situation of smashing the plate. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
The market is about to rebound
Different analyses had different views on whether the market was about to rebound. Some people believed that the market had a rebound trend. For example, in the analysis on October 24th, it was mentioned that the market had a correction on that day. From the turnover, the trading volume was low, and the market sentiment might be on the verge of overselling. Moreover, the market had experienced enough adjustment, and the accumulated rebound strength was accumulating. Therefore, it was predicted that the market would usher in a rebound. However, there were also opinions that there was uncertainty. For example, from the technical indicators, the state of the dead cross of the MCD was not alleviated, the red column shrank after the market rose, the high nine and high seven appeared in 90 minutes and 120 minutes, and the high eight appeared in the Shen Cheng Index. All of these suggested that short-term high points might appear. If it fell below five to ten antennae on Thursday, then the B wave rebound might end and the C wave would fall. Therefore, it was impossible to judge for sure that the market was about to rebound. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
Tomorrow, the market will rebound and the new market will rise.
He said that the market would rebound tomorrow and start a new market. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
Thailand's property market will rebound strongly in 2021
Thailand's property market will not rebound strongly in 2021. From the demand side, although foreign buyers, especially China investors, are interested in investment, overseas sales, especially property sales, are difficult to pick up significantly due to the epidemic. Before the country reopens and takes more measures to support the overall market, developers may continue to maintain the current sales pace, and their purchasing power is weak. From the supply side, in order to get rid of inventory, developers took out 15% - 30% of the completed buildings for discount promotion. The prices of some new projects could not be realized in the current market, so developers had to delay the launch of new projects, otherwise they would have to further reduce prices. Overall, the housing market in Bangkok in 2021 will be similar to the situation in 2020. Until the current situation is clear, a more effective stimulus plan covering all aspects is needed to better support the housing market, so there will be no strong rebound. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
Market Analysis of Rebound Pressure
Taking the Styrene market as an example, the decline of crude oil decreased and the cost continued to fall. Styrene's near-end supply and demand support was limited, and the market buying and selling sentiment was in a game state. Although the absolute value of supply was low and there were signs of increasing buying intention after continuous decline, if there was no more buying increment support, the market rebound would be under pressure and may consolidate a small decline. In the stock market, such as the A-share market, the Shanghai index has been sideways for several consecutive trading days, showing a falling relay pattern. There is uncertainty in the market, so we can't simply think that the falling market is coming to an end. From the perspective of funds, some of the funds were tied up at high levels in the early stage. When the market tried to rebound, the sale of the locked funds would limit the room for growth. Despite the good news that the central bank may cut the deposit reserve ratio, the current market is still under tremendous pressure. The traditional policy easing to stimulate the market may not be ideal. Moreover, there were still many stocks in the market that were in a state of decline. The situation was severe. There were risks and opportunities behind the short-term pull up, so the rebound was also under pressure. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>
A retaliatory rebound in the stock market
The retaliatory rebound of the stock market referred to the retaliatory rise after a continuous plunge. However, sometimes it seemed to be a retaliatory rebound, but in fact, it might be a natural rebound after falling too much, which required a comprehensive consideration of many factors. For example, he had to analyze the macro economic situation, the external environment, the energy situation, the average line indicator, the position of the index, and so on. If the economic recovery slowed down and the external environment was uncertain, even if the stock market rose, it might not be a retaliatory rebound. From the perspective of quantity, if the quantity is insufficient, it may only be a short-term oversold rebound rather than a retaliatory rebound; From the perspective of the average line indicator, the rebound after the market returns to the important average line position may be just a normal reaction after stepping back; From the index situation, the trend of different indicators such as Shanghai 50, Science and Technology 50, as well as their relationship with technical indicators such as Bollinger Bands and KDJ, all help to judge whether the nature of the rebound is a retaliatory rebound. <a href="/?from=ask_words" style="color:red" target="_blank">Read more exciting novels for free</a>