Robots in 2030By 2030, robots were expected to have many developments and changes. In terms of humanoid robots, the market scale is expected to reach 2 million units in the first stage. One million units will be added in that year, and the price will drop to 260,000 yuan per unit. The entire market scale is expected to reach 570.7 billion yuan, and the new market scale in that year is 292.8 billion yuan. The growth in the number of humanoid robots and the expansion of the market showed that they had great potential in the market.
Technically, humanoid robots showed certain advantages in production operations. For example, the humanoid robot " Assembler " made in Sichuan, China, could work 24 hours a day, and its efficiency was twice that of manual labor. Through human-like limb structure and coordination technology, it could complete the scanning and tagging operation. It could also adapt to the flexible production needs of TV sets of different specifications and size through training and learning.
From the perspective of social impact, robots might replace some occupations. For example, in the imagined scenario of 2030, there were humanoid robots used by families to take care of food, driving, cooking, etc., and in 2028, there were fast-rental car robots replacing the express car, and light-speed robots replacing the order delivery staff. In the entertainment industry, live broadcasts were mostly replaced by digital people.
From the perspective of development trends and risks, according to experts 'predictions, by 2030, robots may surpass humans in physical strength and intelligence, and may no longer be able to tolerate the "dictatorship" of humans. The computing power of robots has been growing rapidly, doubling every 100 days since 2012. Some experts worry that robots may go out of control. Although robots will create trillions of wealth, there are also potential risks of intelligence losing control, wealth and intelligence being concentrated in the hands of a few people.
According to Omdia's forecast, global humanoid robot shipment will increase to 38,000 units by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 83% from 2024 to 2030. However, humanoid robot technology is still in the early stages of development, and large-scale production and deployment are still facing challenges. Most products are in the experimental or proof of concept stage.
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Robots in 2040Musk predicted that the number of humanoid robots could surpass humans by 2040. There would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots in use worldwide, and each robot could sell for between $20,000 and $25,000. By then, humanoid robots would be popularized in the household and enterprise fields. This development would push mankind into an era of abundance, which might lead to the reconstruction of the social economy and even the realization of universal basic income, entering an era of great material abundance.
At present, humanoid robots were in the window of rapid industrial development. 2024 was regarded as the first year of humanoid robots 'commerce. Many countries were actively introducing relevant policies to support the development of humanoid robots. For example, many provinces and cities in China, as well as companies such as Tesla, Nvidia, and Open AI, were promoting the business process of humanoid robots. These laid the foundation for the popularity of humanoid robots in 2040.
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Analysis of robots vs robots in science fictionOften, the scenario of robots vs robots in science fiction is a reflection of human fears and hopes. We fear that machines might turn against us or get out of control, so we create stories where robots fight each other as a way to contain the potential threat. At the same time, it also shows our hope that there can be a system or mechanism within the robotic world to keep order. For instance, in the movie 'I, Robot', the conflict between different robots is related to the interpretation of the Three Laws of Robotics, which is an interesting exploration of how robots might interact and conflict with each other.
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