The short-term rebound failedThe failure of a short-term rebound could be caused by a variety of factors. From the perspective of the market, if the stocks fell more than rose, the number of falling stocks far exceeded the number of rising stocks, and the empty side of the market had an obvious advantage, which might cause the short-term rebound to fail. For example, in a certain trading day, the number of stocks falling in the two cities was more than twice the number of stocks rising. At the same time, the Beizheng 50 Index rose sharply while other sectors and stocks performed poorly. This serious situation was not conducive to the formation of a short-term rebound.
From the technical perspective of the short-term market, if the market encounters resistance during the rebound and cannot break through, and although it has received support many times near the support level, the support will gradually weaken, which will also cause the short-term rebound to face the risk of failure. For example, when the market rebounded near a certain key point (such as around 2980), there was a high point on the daily line of the time-sharing line. After that, although there was support in the 2950 - 2960 range, the support became weaker and weaker, which may lead to the failure of the short-term rebound.
In addition, from the perspective of market trends, if you miss the best opportunity to break through, the sideways time will also increase the probability of falling for a long time, leading to the failure of the short-term rebound. For example, if the market was sideways for many trading days and could not break through, it would reduce the possibility of a short-term rebound.
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Short term interest rates reflect the rise and fall of financial marketsThe short-term interest rate refers to the interest rate of various financial assets with a financing period of less than one year. It also refers to the interest rate in the money market. It could reflect the rise and fall of the financial market to a certain extent.
From the perspective of the cost of finance, when the short-term interest rate fell, it meant that the cost of finance was reduced, and it was easier for enterprises and individuals to obtain funds, which might stimulate investment and consumption and promote the activity and prosperity of the financial market. For example, the interest rate of consumer loans entered the era of "1", which reduced the cost of borrowing for consumers and stimulated the intention of consumption. It had a positive effect on the overall economic activity, which was also a manifestation of the development of the financial market.
On the contrary, the rise in short-term interest rates means that the cost of financing will increase, which may cause enterprises and individuals to reduce investment and consumption, which will have a certain restraining effect on the financial market.
In addition, the central bank's monetary policy has an important impact on short-term interest rates. For example, when the central bank's monetary policy gradually loosened, it would lower the benchmark interest rate to reduce the cost of financing, which would cause the short-term interest rate of banks and other financial institutions to fall, which would affect the financial market and stimulate economic growth. For example, the reduction of bank consumer loan interest rate happened under this policy background. And when the economy is in a different situation, such as economic growth picking up or rising inflation pressure, the central bank may consider raising interest rates, which will have the opposite impact on the financial market.
In terms of mortgage interest rate, its adjustment is related to LPR. The LPR re-pricing cycle affects the change of mortgage interest rate, and the adjustment of mortgage interest rate will also have a chain reaction to the real estate market and the entire financial market, which is also related to the adjustment logic of short-term interest rate.
From the perspective of the bond market, when the deposit interest rate is lowered, the bond market may quietly rise, and the bond market yield is closely related to the interest rate, which also reflects the link between short-term interest rate changes and the rise and fall of the financial market.
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